Monday, November 30, 2009

Shark Bitten

As the Sens are in San Jose to face the Sharks tomorrow, we all know what's on everyone's mind, Dany Heatley. For better or for worse, he was a huge part of our team and the fiasco this summer sure soured everyone's opinion on him and changed the way our team looked. So as we play him for the first time since he was traded (does anyone else think he partially picked San Jose because they didn't play IN Ottawa this year?), Sens Town looks back on the deal and tries to figure out who got the better of the swap.

Now to analyze this properly, we have to take into consideration the circumstances. Dany Heatley had made 10 million the past season in salary and was due a 4 million advance on his 2009-10 salary on July 1st. He had previously signed a 6 year extension to stay with the Sens worth 45 million on October 3rd, 2007, which included a no trade clause. At the time, it wasn't a big deal, as no one would have ever thought he would want out or that the Sens would ever want to trade him. Boy were we wrong.

Everything changed May 10th, 2009 when it became public that Heatley had asked the Senators for a trade. The hockey world was shocked. Sens Army was shocked. Even his teammates didn't seem to understand it. The speculation begun as to why he wanted out and the stories got wilder everyday. Was it players with drug problems as alluded to by Bill Watters? Perhaps something happened with another players significant other? What we did know was it simply wasn't the reason being told to us. He said he was upset at his diminished role with the club and that he was a team guy. Ya nothing says team player like complaining about your ice time going down, when we were one of the best teams in the NHL since your role had changed. That is the definition of selfish.

It was assumed he would be moved at the NHL Draft in Montreal, but that came and went. Why were there no offers for a 2 time 50 goal scorer? Is there something we didn't know about #15 or were teams lowballing us because the trade demand had become public and everyone knew we had to move him? Probably some of column A and some of column B. An intense hatred for Heatley was brewing.

The next important date was July 1st, 2009, when free agency started and Heatley was due a 4 million dollar advance on his 2009-10 salary, with another 4 million being paid over the season. Everyone knew they wanted to move him by then and who could blame them. I wouldn't want to be on the hook for 4 million to a guy I was getting rid of either. It was now late June and a trade was struck with the Edmonton Oilers. It wasn't a great deal in my opinion (though it looks a bit better now). The trade was Dany Heatley for Ladislav Smid, Dustin Penner and Andrew Cogliano. Word of the trade spread throughout Ottawa to mixed reviews. But wait, there was a problem. Heatley hadn't approved the deal yet and time was running out. It was reported he was consdiering his options and taking some time to see if he wanted to go to Deadmonton or not. In the end, the deadline came and went. The 4 million advance was paid in full. The city was furious.

Throughout the summer, the Edmonton deal remained on the table unbelievably. It must be awful to be an Oiler fan, always being turned down and being an undesired destination. The Oil even went as far as to go to his home in Kelowna and try to convince him that he should come. They were getting desperate and so were we. Not helping the situation was that Heatley himself remained mum, not saying a word about why he wanted out of Ottawa or why he had turned down the Edmonton deal. The speculation grew and his reputation was sinking, and not just in Ottawa but throughout the whole hockey world.

He was finally forced to speak in advance of the Team Canada orientation camp in August, but he barely said anything, even though he was talking finally. He did however spawn a soundbite that will last forever, when he said over and over again how he needed options and he stuck to his diminished role story like a murder does to his fake alibi. This was designed as a image make over but really, it made things worse and people thought he was even more clueless then ever.

It was now Sept 2009 and training camp was looming. Everyone was wondering what we would do. Would Heatley be forced to come back and play for us? Or would we deal him? Murray was saying that he wouldn't give him away and we were involved in a high stakes game of chicken. We all know what happened. The day camp opened, he was dealt exactly where he wanted the whole time, the San Jose Sharks. Murray said he knew he had to move him and San Jose was the only one's making an offer, so he took it. In his defence I think he did ok with this deal, but there are some aspects involved that made it bitter to swallow. So with that in mind, here is my breakdown on the infamous Heatley trade.

As well all know, the trade was Dany Heatley and a 5th round pick for Milan Michalek, Jonathan Cheecoo and a 2nd round pick. So lets' start with the salaries and the contracts. Dany Heatley will have a cap hit of 7.5 million for this year and the next four. Jonathan Cheechoo has a cap hit of 3 million a year for this year and next. Milan Michalek has a cap hit of 4.3 million for this year and the next 4 years. So in essence, we traded 7.5 million in salary for 7.3 million and lost the best player in the deal, which is never good.

So let's look at the player's stats so far this season. Dany Heatley, to no one's surprise, is lighting it up in San Jose, playing alongside perennial assist leader and perennial playoff underachiver Joe Thorton. To date he has 18 goals, 12 helpers and is a +3 through 27 games. Seeing this is nothing new to a Sens fan, as we all know he is lazy and a defensive liability. Plus 3 on a team that good, when he has that many points, has to be considered awful. Jonathan Cheechoo has 2 goals and 2 assists for a whopping 4 points and is a -6 on the year. To quote Dennis Green, he was who we thought he was, and that's not a good thing. And now the silver lining in the trade, Milan Michalek. According to Murray, the deal took so long because the Sharks refused to include him until the last minute and now I can see why. The 6th overall pick from the 2003 draft has been a pleasure to watch, playing a strong 2 way game and showing the effort that Dany never would produce. He was a surprising 13 goals and 5 assists and is a plus 1. He also happens to be one of the fastest guys in the league, plays on the PK and the PP, and is always a threat when he's on the ice. He's becoming a fan favorite here for sure.

So who won the trade? As much as I hate him, the Sharks did without a doubt. I'm sure that Murray did as well as possible given the circumstances, but we got taken. The Sharks got the best player and we paid half his salary this year. The Sharks got a 3 million salary dump in Cheechoo and managed to get a draft pick out of us as well. If we were taking Cheechoo, which I know we had to do to make it work salary wise and paying the 4 million advance, then shouldn't we have recieved a 1st rounder in return? While we're at it, let's be honest and give credit where credit is due. Obviously the Sharks management were smart enough to realise that Cheechoo was never that good of a player, despite his stats. How else do you explain a 56 goal guy only getting 3 million? The saving grace was Michalek. He's a very good player and he's only getting better, plus we have him signed long term at a very reasonable price.

So let's recap shall we. The Sens paid Dany Heatley 14 million in a calendar year, then traded him to San Jose with a 5th rounder for only a 2nd rounder, a 3 million dollar paperweight for this year and next, and a top 6 forward, who while I really like his game, has zero all star appearances to his name. In an era where cap space and high draft picks are as valuable as ever, we got neither.

Everyone knew we had to get rid of them, esepcially Doug Wilson, so he waited us out and got him for 50 cents on the dollar. That's what good GM's do. I have to give some credit to Bryan Murray, who also waited it out and was able to land Michalek at least, who appears to be a future star. Could he have done better? Maybe, maybe not. I guess it's like Heatley's real reason for wanting out, we will never really know.

Thoughts?

-The Mayor

7 comments:

the tif said...

While I agree with your argument, and it is a well written piece, I think one thing that needs to be mentioned is the "intangibles" that always seem to be bandied about. Murray couldn't have kept Heatley. The atmosphere in the locker room would have been poisonous, and I'm not sure how the teams (or the fans) would have responded. Sure, we're stuck with Cheechoo for two years, but he does play hard FWIW.

Besides, SJ will collapse in the playoffs. They always do. How they don't have a reputation for choking is beyond me.

Anonymous said...

Great blog. I think we need to look and evaluate WHY Heatley wanted out of Ottawa so bad. We may never know the REAL reason - and there certainly is a real reason - but IMO the upper brass in the Senator organization should have managed the situation better. In fact the situation should never been allowed (by the Sens) to reach the point it did. Heatley is a calbre player that whole teams are built around - and the sens allowed the situation to implode. Sure people will say that Heatley is such a clown and no management team would have been able to satisfy his ego - but I don't buy it.

There are other situations in Ottawa where star players have left for greener pastures: Zedano Chara, and Ray Emery for example. Now, each situation is different but one thing is constant here: absolutely star players were allowed to leave the city with NO compensation. Ottawa wanted to rid themselves of all three of these players.

In the example of Ray Emery - sure he was a disaster in Ottawa, but here he is excelling at another club, and we are playing his salary! How does that happen? Why could Ottawa not keep Ray 1) straight, 2) motivated, 3) excelling? This is a management issue my friends and it's pretty plain to see.

Anyway, I am not sure I am explaining this properly but its pretty easy to see in my view: The SENATORS HAVE WEAK MANAGEMENT! Murray is a boob and every deal he does confirms that in further detail.

Anonymous said...

I think he would have been better just to trade Heatley for Michalek and the draft pick straight up. Unfortunately Cheechoo has been more of a burden than anything and an extra $3m in cap space would have been nice, let San Jose deal with their cap problems if they wanted Heatley. I think BM should have seen Cheechoo playing last year and realized that he had lost all skating ability and just could not keep up with the play anymore.

Anonymous said...

Why we could not have gotten Erhoff or a first rounder with Cheech and Michalek I will never know, it would have made the deal easier to swallow thats for sure.

Hopefully Murray uses that 2nd rounder for something productive, personally I would trade our 1st & 2nd along with SJ's and trade up into the top 10 of the 2010 draft and pick up a future star forward, Ottawa has nothing even close to that coming up so getting some-one who may potentially develop into a player like Heatley would be the best way to go IMO.

Anonymous said...

Just a quick add....

Murray didn't let Charo go for nothing Muckler did. Yeah Ottawa had to get rid of Emery but are in a better goaltending situation without him.

And as far as Heatley goes, I prefer Michalek and his 4.3 million game to Heatley and his 7.5 million one dimensional game. At the end of the year Heatley will have his 50 goals and 90 points and he will be happy and Ottawa will have a player that seems to be only tapping his potential and plays a much more rounded game.

Anonymous said...

Lets just say that both Ottawa GMs have not got enough back in the way of draft picks and young talent when stars left. The one thing the Sens definitely lack is cheap young talent. That is how we end up with a $7m 4th line.

The Mayor said...

Thanks for the love guys, i appreciate it.

I dont think we will ever know why heatley wanted out, at least not until his playing days are over and he writes another lame book or something